Dortmund
1 - 3
Bayern

Reus (64')
Reus (25'), Dahoud (32')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lewandowski (41', 74'), Muller (50')
Sule (23'), Sane (83'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+3')

Preview

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.79%) and 0-2 (5.15%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayern Munich
31.92%	21.28%	46.8%

Both teams to score 70.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.34%

28.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.44%

49.56%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.98%

19.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.41%

50.58%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.91%

13.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.29%

39.71%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 31.92%

Bayern Munich 46.8%

Draw 21.28%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.97% 1-0 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3.92% 3-1 @ 3.86% 2-0 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.37% Total : 31.92%	1-1 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 7.09% 3-3 @ 2.66% 0-0 @ 2.49% Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.28%	1-2 @ 8.54% 1-3 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 5.15% 0-1 @ 5.06% 2-3 @ 4.81% 0-3 @ 3.49% 1-4 @ 2.94% 2-4 @ 2.44% 0-4 @ 1.77% 3-4 @ 1.35% 1-5 @ 1.2% 2-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.26% Total : 46.8%