Dortmund
2 - 3
Bayern

Reus (45'), Braut Haaland (83')
Delaney (45+3'), Witsel (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Alaba (45+4'), Lewandowski (48'), Sane (80')
Kimmich (36'), Lewandowski (82')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga match between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 50.99%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayern Munich
26.56%	22.45%	50.99%

Both teams to score 61.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.93%

38.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.67%

60.33%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.98%

27.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.63%

62.37%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.85%

15.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.27%

43.72%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 26.56%

Bayern Munich 50.99%

Draw 22.44%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.61% 1-0 @ 5.35% 2-0 @ 3.5% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 1.53% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.56%	1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.09% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.44%	1-2 @ 9.54% 0-1 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 7.29% 1-3 @ 6% 0-3 @ 4.59% 2-3 @ 3.93% 1-4 @ 2.83% 0-4 @ 2.16% 2-4 @ 1.85% 1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 4.01% Total : 50.99%