Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 81.92%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 6.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
