Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 71.53%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 12.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 3-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
