Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 64.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 2-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.