Almere City
4 - 1
SBV Excelsior

Hammouti (37', 44'), Emmers (79'), Yeboah (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mendes Moreira (88')
Wieffer (66')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Almere City and SBV Excelsior.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.

Result
Almere City	Draw	SBV Excelsior
40.83%	23.37%	35.8%

Both teams to score 63.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.09%

37.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.83%

60.16%

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81%

19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.45%

50.55%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.62%

21.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.64%

54.35%

Score Analysis

Almere City 40.83%

SBV Excelsior 35.8%

Draw 23.36%

Almere City	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 8.64% 1-0 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.46% Total : 40.83%	1-1 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 6.67% 0-0 @ 4.06% 3-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.36%	1-2 @ 8.03% 0-1 @ 6.27% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.8%