Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Den Bosch would win this match.
