Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Emmen in this match.