Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 37.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Jong Ajax |
37.72% | 24.07% | 38.21% |
Both teams to score 61.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.78% | 41.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.38% | 63.62% |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.11% | 21.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.85% | 55.15% |
Jong Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.35% | 21.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.23% | 54.77% |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Jong Ajax |
2-1 @ 8.37% 1-0 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 5.47% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.72% | 1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-1 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 4.3% 2-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.21% |
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