Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Emmen in this match.
