Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 64.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
