Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
