Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.