Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.