Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 56.23%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.