Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 52.51%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for SBV Excelsior in this match.