Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
