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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2020 at 5.45pm UK
De Toekomst
E

Jong Ajax
3 - 0
SBV Excelsior

Brobbey (52'), Traore (59'), Taylor (87')
Taylor (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Matthys (90+2')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and SBV Excelsior.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.83%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawSBV Excelsior
43.28%22.35%34.38%
Both teams to score 67.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.92%33.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.18%54.82%
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98%16.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.64%45.36%
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12%19.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48%52%
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 43.28%
    SBV Excelsior 34.38%
    Draw 22.35%
Jong AjaxDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 8.63%
1-0 @ 5.83%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 4.25%
3-0 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.49%
4-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 43.28%
1-1 @ 9.42%
2-2 @ 6.97%
0-0 @ 3.19%
3-3 @ 2.29%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-1 @ 5.15%
0-2 @ 4.16%
1-3 @ 4.1%
2-3 @ 3.75%
0-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.66%
2-4 @ 1.52%
3-4 @ 0.93%
0-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 34.38%


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