SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
50.02% ( 0.09) | 22.95% ( -0.01) | 27.03% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 60.57% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.95% ( -0.01) | 40.05% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.58% ( -0.01) | 62.42% ( 0.01) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.79% ( 0.03) | 16.21% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.3% ( 0.05) | 45.7% ( -0.05) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( -0.06) | 27.71% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.72% ( -0.08) | 63.28% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.02% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.03% |
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