Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Almere City win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
