Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
