Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.