Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
