SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Almere City |
| 27.27% | 22.03% | 50.7% |
| Both teams to score 64.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.57% | 35.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.53% | 57.47% |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.86% | 25.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.15% | 59.85% |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.7% | 14.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.89% | 42.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 6.66% 1-0 @ 4.96% 2-0 @ 3.43% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.27% | 1-1 @ 9.65% 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 3.6% 3-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-1 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 6.09% 0-3 @ 4.41% 2-3 @ 4.2% 1-4 @ 2.96% 0-4 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 2.04% 1-5 @ 1.15% 3-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.58% Total : 50.7% |
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