Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 18.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Go Ahead Eagles in this match.