SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Jong PSV |
43.48% ( 0.19) | 22.81% ( -0.04) | 33.71% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 65.25% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.36% ( 0.13) | 35.64% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.3% ( 0.15) | 57.7% ( -0.15) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.03% ( 0.13) | 16.97% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.93% ( 0.23) | 47.06% ( -0.23) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.59% ( -0.02) | 21.41% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.59% ( -0.02) | 54.41% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.4% Total : 43.48% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.65% Total : 33.71% |
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