Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 2-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Willem II in this match.
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