SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Helmond Sport |
55.98% ( 0.32) | 22.27% ( -0.09) | 21.74% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.68% ( 0.14) | 42.32% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.28% ( 0.14) | 64.72% ( -0.14) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.03% ( 0.15) | 14.97% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.6% ( 0.29) | 43.4% ( -0.3) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% ( -0.14) | 33.25% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.13% ( -0.15) | 69.87% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.83% Total : 55.98% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.26% | 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 21.74% |
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