Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.