Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.
