SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 70.7%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 12.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Dordrecht |
70.7% ( -0.08) | 16.99% ( -0.02) | 12.3% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.57% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.82% ( 0.38) | 35.18% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.81% ( 0.43) | 57.19% ( -0.43) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.15% ( 0.08) | 8.85% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.7% ( 0.19) | 30.3% ( -0.2) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.87% ( 0.42) | 40.13% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.23% ( 0.38) | 76.77% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 2.48% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 70.69% | 1-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.99% | 1-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.58% Total : 12.3% |
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