SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
63.1% ( 0.04) | 20.37% ( -0.03) | 16.52% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.28% ( 0.15) | 41.72% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.87% ( 0.15) | 64.12% ( -0.15) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.39% ( 0.06) | 12.6% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.29% ( 0.12) | 38.71% ( -0.12) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.54% ( 0.09) | 38.46% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.79% ( 0.08) | 75.21% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 2-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 7.18% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 63.09% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 16.52% |
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