SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 54.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Heracles |
54.82% ( 2.45) | 23.37% ( -0.82) | 21.82% ( -1.63) |
| Both teams to score 53.24% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.98% ( 1.72) | 47.03% ( -1.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% ( 1.59) | 69.27% ( -1.58) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.97% ( 1.55) | 17.03% ( -1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.82% ( 2.68) | 47.18% ( -2.67) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.17% ( -0.56) | 35.83% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.4% ( -0.58) | 72.61% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.36)3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.43)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.28)4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.31)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.96% Total : 54.82% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.57) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.82% |
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