Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 65.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 15.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.