Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 63.17%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 18.44% and a draw had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (4.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.