Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Jong FC Utrecht in this match.