SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 56.18%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 1-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Den Bosch |
56.18% ( -0.25) | 20.69% ( 0.1) | 23.13% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 64.46% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.93% ( -0.32) | 33.07% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.19% ( -0.37) | 54.81% ( 0.37) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.16% ( -0.17) | 11.85% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.89% ( -0.37) | 37.11% ( 0.37) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.12% ( -0.06) | 26.88% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.8% ( -0.08) | 62.2% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 56.19% | 1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.69% | 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.83% Total : 23.13% |
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