SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Den Bosch would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | Jong AZ |
41.04% ( -1.32) | 24.02% ( -0.05) | 34.94% ( 1.37) |
| Both teams to score 61.05% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.72% ( 0.56) | 41.28% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.32% ( 0.56) | 63.68% ( -0.55) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.67% ( -0.36) | 20.33% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.29% ( -0.58) | 52.71% ( 0.59) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( 1.03) | 23.38% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.65% ( 1.47) | 57.35% ( -1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.95% Total : 41.04% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.94% |
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