SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.65%) and 1-3 (5.53%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Emmen |
32.96% ( -0.03) | 21.97% ( 0.01) | 45.06% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 68.18% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.3% ( -0.05) | 31.7% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.79% ( -0.06) | 53.21% ( 0.06) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.05% ( -0.04) | 19.95% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.9% ( -0.06) | 52.1% ( 0.06) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.17% ( -0.01) | 14.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.87% ( -0.03) | 43.13% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.96% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.53% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.64% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.13% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.39% Total : 45.06% |
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