Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
