Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 37.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
