SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Dordrecht |
45.8% ( 0.02) | 24.18% ( -0.02) | 30.02% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 58.47% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.2% ( 0.1) | 43.8% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.81% ( 0.1) | 66.18% ( -0.1) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.72% ( 0.05) | 19.28% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.98% ( 0.08) | 51.02% ( -0.08) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( 0.05) | 27.56% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.92% ( 0.07) | 63.08% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 45.8% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.02% |
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