SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Jong AZ |
32.55% ( 1.51) | 23.52% ( 0.04) | 43.93% ( -1.55) |
| Both teams to score 62.13% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.46% ( 0.48) | 39.54% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.11% ( 0.5) | 61.89% ( -0.5) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% ( 1.14) | 23.9% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.89% ( 1.6) | 58.11% ( -1.6) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.65% ( -0.43) | 18.35% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.54% ( -0.74) | 49.46% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.55% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.63% Total : 43.93% |
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