SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
32.08% ( 0.42) | 24.5% ( -0.07) | 43.42% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 58.39% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( 0.49) | 44.35% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.27% ( 0.48) | 66.73% ( -0.48) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.49% ( 0.5) | 26.51% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.29% ( 0.67) | 61.7% ( -0.67) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( 0.05) | 20.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% ( 0.08) | 53.05% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.08% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.42% |
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