Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
46.39% ( -0.32) | 24.63% ( 0) | 28.98% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 56.28% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.62% ( 0.17) | 46.38% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.33% ( 0.16) | 68.67% ( -0.16) |
Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.92% ( -0.07) | 20.08% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.69% ( -0.11) | 52.31% ( 0.11) |
MVV Maastricht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.41% ( 0.31) | 29.58% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.39% ( 0.38) | 65.61% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.39% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.3% Total : 28.98% |
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