Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
