Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.16%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
