Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 49.67%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
