Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
