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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 3, 2021 at 11.15am UK
 
NB

SBV Excelsior
0 - 3
NAC Breda

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Fiorini (17'), de Rooij (44'), Bilate (86')
van Hooijdonk (41'), Schouten (86')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and NAC Breda.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawNAC Breda
31.05%23.69%45.26%
Both teams to score 60.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59%41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.61%63.39%
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48%25.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63%60.36%
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61%18.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.47%49.53%
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 31.05%
    NAC Breda 45.26%
    Draw 23.69%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawNAC Breda
2-1 @ 7.41%
1-0 @ 6.41%
2-0 @ 4.38%
3-1 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 2.86%
3-0 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.05%
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 6.28%
0-0 @ 4.69%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 9.19%
0-1 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 6.73%
1-3 @ 5.19%
0-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 3.54%
1-4 @ 2.2%
0-4 @ 1.61%
2-4 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 45.26%

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