Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 49.88%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.
